After a strong 2024 performance, global trade is now facing headwinds from a tariff surge and rising trade policy uncertainty, a WTO blog said.
The world merchandise trade volume may fall by 0.2 per cent this year, with a modest 2.5-per cent recovery likely in 2026.
World GDP is now expected to grow by 2.2 per cent in 2025—0.6 pps below the baseline prediction—before reaching 2.4 per cent in 2026.