Long-run US inflation expectations softened over the last two months of 2025, then edged up in January 2026, a study by the University of Michigan found.
Expectations were stable in the years leading into the pandemic; they worsened till mid-2022 and softened thereafter till October 2024.
In 2025, median expectations surged to 4.4 in April, before trending downward for most of the remainder of the year.