The IMF has projected China’s economy to grow by 5 per cent in 2025 and 4.5 per cent in 2026.
These reflect an upward revision of 0.2 and 0.3 percentage points respectively compared to its October forecast, driven by welcome macroeconomic policy stimulus measures and lower-than-expected tariffs on China’s exports.
The upgrade followed the conclusion of its 2025 Article IV Consultation mission to China.